I have determined that my most profitable plays are the ones that Double Chance Dave Review produce serious doubt before the race, and most of them wind up losing! In the long run it is these "doubtful contenders at a price" that drive my profit model.I have determined that I do better picking contenders with good pace handicapping and not attempting any form of "separation" between them. That is, I allow the tote board to select my plays for me. This is a significant difference from standard "Sartinian pace."Recall that conventional pace handicapping (i.e. Sartinian pace) is based on the following logical steps.
In my approach to the game, I select no contenders, no pacelines, and use no model.Instead, I use running style to determine who the early and late horses will likely be, then use speed (in a unique way) to determine who the final contenders will be. The contenders' odds are considered to decide which horses will likely produce "value."In other words, my pace analysis of the race determines the contenders rather than the other way around.
Learning how to handicap horse races and to bet on them and actually make a profit is the goal of many people, but most usually quit before they make the grade. Like many things in life, it looks deceptively easy, but is in fact a brutal way to try to make a living. It reminds me of peeling an onion. As you slowly start to learn the intricacies of handicapping you are peeling away layer after layer and never seem to get to the most important factor or find anything but another layer, another twist.How can you possibly ever win with so many considerations, so many things that can go wrong? The answer to many of the challenges you face as a horse handicapper are found in life. Though you may spend years learning how to pick winners, you are already well on your way if you've lived a full life and have been paying attention.